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Nfl SituationsArticlesDisplaying Results 1 - 15 for nfl situationsNfl Situation Spotlight - #109: Offensive Holding Penalties (ohp) ... the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please consult Page 13 of my 2007 NFL Game Sheets Guide.)
Situational Trend #109 Summary
Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)1) Offensive Holding Penalty Average Against ( ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #6: Teams in an Away Sandwich (as) ... as it applies to sports betting). For those that are thinking more along the lines of sliced ham or turkey: in the realm of NFL handicapping, it refers to a situation that looks at a window of 3 consecutive games where the 'middle' game is ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #25: the Importance of Red Zone Conversion Percentage ... .8%).
There are 3 different Secondary conditions (i.e., tighteners) that round out this situation. Secondary conditions normally exclude only a small percentage of games from the pool of NFL contests that apply. One example would be to ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #107: Rushing and Passing Ratings by Down ... stats help to forecast who will cover the spread in an upcoming game?With the expansion and proliferation of many 'situational' style team stats for the NFL in recent years, the sport of Pro-Football seems to have firmly entrenched itself ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #89: Teams With a Straight-up Winning % (su Wp) >= .600 ... to this fact.
Despite the inherent bias towards the popular teams, there are still quite a few profitable situations in the NFL that play on good teams--situations that have produced consistent winning records each year, regardless of ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #22: Play Book Execution Penalties ... , certain types of penalties can be a particularly powerful handicapping tool in the right situations.I have always found penalties to be an intriguing aspect of the NFL game and their effect is undeniable--who hasn't felt the sting of a ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #76: Teams With a Big Pass Yardage % for of 50+ % ... deep-pass right out of the gate.
What we have here is good so far, but, there is one more primary condition that needs to be added to this situation before things really begin to take shape and it involves how 'game-ready' the opponent ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #2: Teams With an Above Average Late/close % (lc%f) ... SPR is the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please consult Page 13 of my 2008 NFL Game Sheets Guide.)
Situational Trend #2 Summary
Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)1) Late Close % For (LC%F) > 14.2) Clutch ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #46: Teams With a High Pass Defense Rating ... average in the category we are looking at.Now that I have explained the math, what are the potential uses for this stat? One particular situation where PDE shows its predictive power is when the team in question has a PDE rating > +0.50 and ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #43: Teams With a High Int% on Defense ... a larger number of pass attempts as their opponent struggles to narrow the deficit in the 3rd and 4th quarters. In these situations, interceptions suddenly become more common-place as the opposing quarter-back begins to force more and more ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #97: Rush Offense Rating (rof) Mis-matches ... one (2006) and was a solid 32-21 ATS last year.
So, what is the real deal with this situation and why is it so successful? The answer to this question can be found by looking closer at some of the stats behind it.
Out of the 531 ... Read Nfl Situation Spotlight - #51: Teams Coming Off a Clutch Win (cw) ... 1st Quarter Rush % against) and eliminates games in the post-season or Week 17.When it comes to situational handicapping, it's always best to work with trends that have as few conditions as possible and this one is very effective with only ... Read NFL Situation Spotlight - #36: Teams with a below-average Passing First Down % (PFD%) ... . For more details, please consult Page 18 of my 2009 NFL Game Reports Guide.)Situational Trend #36 SummaryPrimary Conditions (Building Blocks ... ); JAC(16); TB(14); IND(10); WAS(10)Situation RecordOverall (Since '94): 121-41 ATS2008 Season: 12 ... Read NFL Situation Spotlight - #131: Teams with a consistent Pass Offense in the early part of the season ... . For more details, please consult Page 18 of my 2009 NFL Game Reports Guide.) Situational Trend #131 Summary Primary Conditions (Building ... Points Against average (PA) of > 30 per-game. Simple Nfl Systems - #49: the Super Bowl EffectAfter studying and cataloging hundreds of different NFL situational trends over the past decade or-so, I have learned that there are really only 3 distinct types of situations that effectively beat the spread. They each have the ability to ... Read Searches related to: nfl situations
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