E-Mini Trading: Finding High Probability Setups
A quick scan of any of the popular online bookstores will produce a plethora of writers who claim to have a distinct set of high probability e-mini trading setups. For these traders, these setups are probably very successful and profitable. Unfortunately, any of these e-mini trading setups require a sizable software purchase or intricate analysis of candlestick formations. Whether all of these e-mini trading setups are profitable is beyond the scope of this article, but I am interested in presenting some generic setups that have been successful for a wide range of traders.
I emphasize trading with the trend and rely upon momentum for most of my profitable trades. I find when I trade against the trend, except in a few specific trades, I end up with a marginally profitable or unprofitable e-mini trade. For that reason, I'm going to recommend learning 2 "with the trend" trades and one countertrend trade that I have found to be reliable in my personal trading.
These traits include:
• Breakout and breakdown trades in and around areas of support/resistance
• Entering a trade in the trend after a retracement
• The Ambush Trade
Breakdown Trades in and around Areas of Support/Resistance
I probably don't trade is often as some e-mini traders because I don't feel there aren't that many high probability setups available each day. But one of my favorite setups is at the open of the session and there is a support/resistance line in the proximity of the direction of the markets initial move. I will generally set a buy stop or sell stop 4 or 5 ticks above or below the resistance or support and wait for the price to come to my entry. I pay special attention to volume in this trade and like to see increasing volume is the price nears the support resistance line. Sheer momentum will often carry a price action 10 to 12 ticks past my entry for a nice stop. Often times, there is a great deal of institutional and professional trading volume in these moves and they are very successful.
Entering a Trade in the Trend after a Retracement
During the course of a trend it is common, almost probable, that the trending action will take a short break and retrace some of the ground it has gained. This makes sense, as at some point e-mini traders will begin to take profits and the trend will take a temporary sideways or downward break. Depending upon which author you care to read, the trend resumes about 70% or 80% of the time. So, as the retracement in a trend begins to wane, it is an ideal time to reenter the market in the direction of the trend and ride the second leg of the trend for a profit. I would say that this is probably the most common trade I take on a daily basis and it has a high degree of success.
The Ambush Trade
The ambush trade is one of the few countertrend e-mini trades that I truly have a high degree of confidence in initiating. With this trade the e-mini trader can draw a Fibonacci continuum on graph and wait until the countertrend retracement reaches between 50% and 62%. There is a high probability in this zone, commonly referred to as the ambush zone that the market will once again resume in the direction of the trend. This is a trade I take routinely when the price action has reached 55% of the entire length of the trend as measured by the Fibonacci retracement path.
A quick note here about probability is in order; because there is no such thing in will trading is a guaranteed trade. Every trade has a higher or lower probability of succeeding or failing. (Though it is hard to measure empirically) Even the best setups can fail miserably and disappoint. This does not, however, deter me from taking the same trade should I see it set up again. I understand probability, and even the best setups have a certain component of failure and their probability.
In summary, we have looked at two "with the trend" trades and identified the conditions that need to be present for them to have the highest potential for success. We have also looked at one "against the trend" trade that has a high potential for success. Since trading is based on probability, we know that even the best setups have the potential for failure and except that is a part of and e-mini trader's mentality.
Questions and Answers
The problem of most e-mini traders is avoiding low probability setups, which are generally unprofitable. Considering the astounding number of new traders who fall victim to low probability e-mini trading, I found it odd that so little has been written on this particular topic.
Last week was an incredible week for trading the intraday charts. With rising volume and volatility prices began to move up or down for extended periods of time allowing traders to profit from these powerful short term price swings. During times like these traders using the daily charts for their guide found the market very difficult to time because of the whipsaw action each day. In this case, it is definitely best to stay clear of the market until the dust settles. But for a trader who watche
This is a very difficult question to answer properly, because the response is dependent upon an e-mini traders experience and goals. Obviously, a new trader should trade a single contract until he or she develops the competence and confidence to trade in a consistently profitable manner.
I'm not convinced that lower day trading margins have served traders, especially new traders, and a positive way. Low day trading margins give a new trader a tremendous amount of control over a large amount of money, more money than he or she is probably ready to trade.
E-mini scalping technique employs components from technical trading, fundamental trading, and efficient market theory. Further, it seems that no two e-mini traders utilize some or all of these components in the same manner.
The growing Indian market is attracting investors on the ground of the promising and assured return. The online trading is very popular these days and most of the people prefer it for quick money.
Learn the fundamentals of committing cash in Stocks, Ties, Common resources, Merchandise, Actual estate We create Getting Inventory Industry straightforward for you with a comprehensive guide to committing. Any effective stock market buyer must be acquainted with the fundamentals of stock market committing.
Online share trading is one of the most popular financial markets in the world today; however, any people are hesitant in starting due to not knowing a lot about it. This article will help explain what online share trading is all about, how you can get involved for a low initial investment and what to consider before, during and after trading.
The stock market is mostly used to create money. . I am sharing my investment strategy as a retail investor. Most financial experts recommend investors to initially contact a financial advisor. Able to provide advice, it can ensure that the money an investor get a good return or not.
This article has discussed about the importance of Stop orders. Stop orders act like the life jackets
It is not unusual to hear individuals ask about trading the "high probability" gap trades. It seems that there is a perception (by some traders) that e-mini gap trading falls into the sure-fire trade class of trades. Note: I have yet to locate a sure-fire trade in several decades of trading.
I've been writing some about trend lines lately and noted my observation, in several of the articles, of the declining use of this valuable charting tool. I don't have any illusions that a couple of articles by a relatively unknown author will have any effect on the use of these lines; but if just a couple of traders see the value of trending lines and e-mini trading, then I suppose I have done my job.
I like trading indicators that help me understand e-mini trading in real time. I can think of no better real time trading experience than watching price action move toward a known area of support/resistance (SAR) and evaluating what the possible outcomes may be when price collides with support lines or resistance lines.
Given a choice of just one e-mini trading indicator/chart pattern I would select, hands down, support and resistance. In my little world of trading, support and resistance (SAR) reign supreme.
Trend breakouts and breakout volume share two important factors (among a list of other important variables) in shaping the likelihood of a successful trend breakout or breakdown. For obvious reasons, volume in a specific direction is a key ingredient in a successful trade.
Discuss this Article
