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Global Economic Power Shifts From the U.s. and Europe to Asia

Author: Monty Guild Author Ranking Blue | Posted: 07-06-2007 | Comments: 0 | Views: 10 | Rating:  (54) Article Popularity - Blue (?) Got a Question? Ask.
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India just reported GDP growth of 9.4% for the fiscal year ended March 2007. This is way above the 8% predicted rate of growth and moving toward China’s stunning 10.4% growth rate.

India, like China is becoming an engine of global growth. The U.S. is clearly no longer the important engine of global growth that it once was. Let us face facts. The U.S. has lost much of its global political leadership, and now its global economic leadership is coming into question.

The U.S. is still the world’s biggest economy, but with a growth rate of less than 1% in the last quarter, and with close to double digit growth in India and China there is little doubt that the U.S. will lose its status as the world’s biggest economy within a decade if these trends persist.

We are American, and we are pro-America, but we are also realists. Let us invest in those areas where the money is to be made. Let us invest in the countries that are growing fast and in the commodities and precious metals which will benefit from these trends. Let us look at the transportation companies whose products and services are necessary to effectuate this growth and at the energy and base metals which are the building blocks of any economy. Let us also look at the global financial intermediaries that will provide the financing for this growth and at the precious metals stocks where many of the profits will be invested.

In our opinion, gold will play a major part as a vehicle that central banks will acquire to strengthen their balance sheets. Recently, Spain sold some gold. The buyers were the central banks of countries with growing economies-the buyers were Asian central banks.

As power shifts from the U.S. and Europe to Asia, so do the central bank gold holdings shift from U.S. and Europe to Asia.

For more information on global investment visit http://www.howtoinvestglobally.com For more information on Monty Guild's investment management visit http://guildinvestment.com

These articles are for informational purposes only and are not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security. Guild Investment Management does not represent that the securities, products, or services discussed in this web site are suitable or appropriate for all investors. Any market analysis constitutes an opinion that may not be correct. Readers must make their own independent investment decisions. The information in this article is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation, or which would subject Guild Investment Management to any registration requirement within such jurisdiction or country.

Any opinions expressed herein, are subject to change without notice. In addition, there are many market, currency, economic, political, business, technological and other risks that are beyond our control. We make reasonable efforts to provide accurate content in these articles; however, some content and some of the assumptions, formulas, algorithms and other data that impact the content may be inaccurate, outdated, or otherwise inappropriate. In addition, we may have conflicts of interest with respect to any investments mentioned. Our principals and our clients may hold positions in investments mentioned on the site or we may take positions contrary to investments mentioned.

Guild’s current and past market commentaries are protected by copyright. Apart from any use permitted under the Copyright Act, you must not copy, frame, modify, transmit or distribute the market commentaries, without seeking the prior consent of Guild.

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Monty GuildAbout the Author:

Mr. Guild founded Guild Investment Management in 1971. Prior to founding the company he was an analyst at a bank and a hedge fund. Mr. Guild is a recognized expert in the areas of international investing and economics. He has been a writer and speaker on economic issues for 30 plus years and has been widely quoted in the world media. He holds a BA in economics and an MBA with highest honors.

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