As any Craps player will tell you, there are so many ways to play the game. That's why Craps is so interesting. Today, I wanted to talk about playing the field and go over a system that just might put the odds in your favor.
First things first, while the field wager in Craps might look enticing-with all those numbers-it's statistically not a good wager. Only 16 of the 36 possible combinations are contained in the field and the wager only pays even money-unless you hit the 2 or 12. To top it off, it's a one-roll win-or-lose wager.
When you make a field wager, you have about a 56% probability of losing. So, you're already in the hole. But, there's a Craps strategy that while somewhat boring does seem to put the odds in your favor somewhat.
Here's the deal. We know that if you flip a coin the probability of getting head and tails will even out. We know that it's possible for either side to go on a run and come up over and over. However, we also know that at some point that run will come to and end. And that's the basis of this strategy.
Let's go back to the coin for a moment. Imagine that you're betting on heads. You have a 50/50 shot at winning. The coin is flipped and it's tails. You decide to bet again. While technically you have a 50/50 shot, you actually have a little better shot than the technical probabilities. Why? The probability of flipping tails twice in a row is 25%, which means there's a 75% that heads will be flipped.
Okay, what if you could just watch the coin being flipped and wait until the probability of a side coming out is better? That's what we're going to do with the field.
Are you ready? The next time you are at a Craps table, wait until you see three non-field rolls in a row then bet the field. While the probability of rolling a non-field on any given roll is 55.5%, the probability of doing it four times in a row is only 5.26%, which means your wager has a 94.74% chance to hit.
That's all there is to it. Like I said, the system can be kind of boring. So, what happens if you lose? You start the count over and re-bet when the count is back up to three in a row. Don't make the mistake of trying to progressive bet or chase.
Simply stick to the plan. If you wager loses, the count is one. There's an alternate version of this system that says you reset the count to zero when there's a new shooter. The idea being that the way the dice are thrown (overall) changes from shooter to shooter. Some take it a step further and only count in-between points. So, when a point is hit, the count is reset to zero.
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