Roberto Andini, e-mail: ngerecau@gmail.com, http://oddsbreaker.weebly.com
7 Oktober 2009
Genoa Vs Inter Milan
In soccer betting, I devide all participants involved in the soccer betting market into Four categories:
- The Mild Brain, is the people whom place their bet based on feeling, 75% in the soccer betting market.
- The Container, is the people whom place their bet based on experience, 20% in the soccer betting market.
- The Strategist, is the people who will be decide their decision after 25 minutes after the match run, 4% in the soccer betting market.
- The Regulator, is the big bankers in the world, 1% in the soccer betting market.
ANALYZE
Asian Odds
- Since the first half of the match, the “The Mild Brain” will place their bet on Inter Milan. And they will not change the bet if there are not significant changes occured. And I believe that the money involved is very much here, may be about 75% of the total transactions.
- In the first half The Container will place their bet on Genoa, when up to 65 minutes to tie the match results, they will hedge their bet by placing bets on Man. United. In my opinion, the money involved here is only 20% of the total transactions.
- The Strategist will wait for results of the match completed the first half, when the results of up to 60 minutes to tie the match result, they will place their money on Inter Milan, and the amount of money they will place likely to reach 5% of the total transactions.
European Odds (Home/Draw/Away)
On European Odds, 1% of the total transaction will be plced for the Home, 24% for a Draw and 75% for the Away.
COMPARISON
1. The amount of money on the Asian Odds transactions in the majority placed on the Inter Milan.
2. The amount of money on European Odds transactions in the majority also placed on the Inter Milan.
As usual, The Regulator will await the results of total transactions up to the end of a specified limit. After that we will soon know the results of this rivalry.
PREDICTION
I believe, with the data analysis above, then not only 90% participants soccer betting, but also all the soccer fans are expected Inter Milan to win the match.
Therefore, I strongly believe that the results will be end with a tie or Genoa will be the winner.
LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE
Inter Milan Win : 10%
Draw : 20%
Genoa Win : 70%
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